21st November – Mini Update
Hi Guys
The excessive rainfall this week has prompted me to post a mini-update as I know a number of you are concerned that there’s been a huge amount of rain over a short period of time and more is forecast. As you can see from the above, here in Market Harborough we received 33.9mm today, which is the highest daily figure I’ve ever recorded and one that turned the town into a flood basin. I’ve never seen so much water everywhere, ditches became streams and streams became torrents. I was mountain-biking tonight and geez, I’ve never seen anything like it…
As for golf courses, the picture below shows how my local club (thanks Chris) fared, the ‘river’ below is normally an access road onto the course !
Immediate Outlook
Overnight a new band of rain is moving into south-west, west Munster and during the early hours, that band will move eastwards across Ireland, arranged in a vertical line. As we move into the morning, that rain band reaches Wales, Western Scotland and the west of England and pushes eastwards slowly, so that means more heavy rain for these areas, that’s after the 20 – 25mm I’ve seen recorded just for today. Through the afternoon that vertical rain band reaches from Plymouth up to Newcastle and continues to track eastwards into The Midlands by early evening. It’s always difficult to predict, but I think this rain band will bring between 8-12mm tomorrow to westerly and central areas, less so for the east of England. (Don’t hold me to that) By the early hours of Friday, that rain band is set to clear the east coast of the U.K to leave a cool, but dry day for the end of the week.
Unfortunately that’s not the end of it, because in the early hours of Saturday morning, a new band of potentially heavy rain pushes into the south / south-west of England and is set to track northwards, reaching The Midlands by early morning. Again this rain is set to fall heaviest on an already flooded west coast of U.K , Wales and The Midlands, so I expect more flooding here for Saturday I’m afraid. That rain may well take all day to move across the country, so expect a high daily figure for the above-mentioned areas. (15-20mm possibly) Sunday sees another rain front into the south-west of England and Wales early doors, tracking diagonally across country through the day, so more rain (6mm upwards maybe) expected.
The early part of next week appears unsettled (6-8mm more rain), but all the time the temperature will be dropping and as predicted earlier in the week, we’re in for a raw one. The weather is set to dry up from mid-week, with temperatures dropping big time; mid-single figure daytime temperatures and a dull outlook so maybe no night frost because of the cloud cover. Winds look to be from the coldest direction IMHO, the north-east, and strong with it.
Bit of a crap forecast I know, my apologies..
Mark Hunt
Eric Olson
Hi Mark and everyone,
I am sure lots are in the same position but with last nights (23/11) rainfall we have just set a new 10yr record. Consider myself very luck to be on the top of a chalk hill.
But thanks for the accurate forecasts Mark, as it really helps us plan what we can and can’t do, in particular spraying!
Chin up boys,
Eric
mark.hunt
Hi Eric,
We picked up 12mm Thursday night and another 29mm Saturday night, I’ve never seen so much water everywhere.
The rivers are like mini seas now, but looking on the bright side, we’re going dry and cold after this….
regards
Mark
Lee Sayers
hats off to you guys getting all the rain, how many of you produce a playable course is remarkable in itself.
mark.hunt
Couldn’t have put it better Lee, it is and has been a challenging time for everyone in our industry, whichever side of the fence you sit, but presumably Squeegies are selling well 🙂
Matthew James
We recorded 60mm rain on our Rain Bird weather station from midnight to midday on the 21/11/12. This was in addition to 22mm which fell on 20/11/12. We are based in Bradford-on-Avon.
mark.hunt
Hi Matthew,
It’s that M5 effect again (I know you’re a way from the M5, but the rain keeps tracking straight up it into the south-west)
I hear the Avon broke its banks as well…
Johnny Evans Ramsdale Park North east Nottingham
Hi Mark, Very interesting presentation at Burhill yesterday, we’ve just had 34mm in a 24 hour period, lovely, and some crazy fools were out playing apparently. Funnily enough not a single puddle on the fairways must be all that vertidraining we have done, just flooded bunkers and greens. Cheers, Johnny
mark.hunt
Cheers Johnny, there’s n’ote so queer as folk as they say…and definitely nothing as daft as golfers !
David MacIndoe
Hi Mark
Impressive as ever, a joy to hear from you.
On the rainfal I thought you might enjoy the Killarney experience!!
Sunday- gauge overflowed- it holds 60mm
Monday-21mm
Tues was a good day-1.5mm
Wed-thursday still raining hard- so far 30mm
Have a nice day!!
Best Regards
David
mark.hunt
Hi Davie
A pleasure to hear from you as well, you know I knew posting up 34mm in a 12hour period was asking for it 🙂
Tough times indeed, the loch must be over the road by now !
All the best Davie
Mark
Ian Tomlinson, Rungsted Golf Club, Denmark
Hi Mark,
I really appreciate your weatherblog and hearing what is going on the other side of the North Sea. It helps me to know that I am not alone going through all this stressful period. We have not had the same rainfall you guys are experiencing but disease pressures are through the roof and fusarium is going rampant over here on all playing areas. Even my good greens with 80% fescue/bent are been hit but the good news is there is still grass in the middle of the disease scars even though the scars are getting bigger daily. Like you they are forecasting a big freeze coming our way mid week so this will hopefully calm the situation down. Time will tell.
Carry on the good work and many thanks.
Kindest regards
Ian
mark.hunt
Hi Ian,
Thanks for the comments, I try my best. but I realise Danemark is a very different climate to ours Ian !.
I’ve just looked at Meteoblue’s forecast for next week (which only runs to Wed at present) and it’s colder, but not really cold yet.
That said, the longer-term Unisys is showing a very cold low pressure building, slap bang over Sjælland later next week, so that will bring much colder weather and being a low, snow as well.
If you’re interested, here’s the link to Rungsted kommune that I set up on Meteoblue, you’re free to use it.
https://www.meteoblue.com/fe/h1frw567kjqzaii
regards
Mark
Mike Butler
27mm today in Bewdley Worcestershire, thank goodness we are 250ft above the River Severn!
mark.hunt
Hi Mike, it’s a good job they built those mansions so high up, you can look down at all the mere mortals splashing around…
Hom
Mike butler
Don’t worry wetsuit in the post good to See you tonight will update fert news as it comes in.
Mike