Hi All,

Firstly, thanks to everyone that came along at Harrogate this week and to any of you who found me consistently, busy, yapping when you came by, my apologies, always a juggling act.

Thought I’d do a quick update really orientated for those of you with snow cover, so that’s most of the U.K, but not Ireland I believe. The question I’m getting is “When is the mild air coming, when is the snow going ??”

Currently we still have cold air sitting over the U.K, but as mentioned earlier on the week, mild air is on the way from the west. At present it’s over Ireland and falling as rain, but by the evening, it’ll reach the west of the U.K, hit that cold air and initially fall as snow, so a bit of a re-run of last Friday for awhile. The critical difference though is that the airstream is quite strong from the west, so instead of dumping snow, that milder air will keep on going, so temperatures will slowly rise overnight and that snow should have turned to rain. Depending on how much snow you have, for many places that may be enough to get rid of it, but of course it’ll make life tricky if the ground is frozen underneath because they could be flooding and wet, unstable surfaces initially.

As you can see from the graphic above, lifted off my Weathercheck portal, the top diagram shows a profile of the temperature through the next week and you can see it is moving from blue (freezing) to green (milder) overnight and that’s the key to why we should get rain, not snow prevailing. I know we don’t want more rain, but 2 things, we’ve been dry for awhile and secondly, it is the best way to get rid of snow cover quickly.

By Monday, that milder air is really pushing in, so I expect double figure air temperatures, perhaps 12-13°C early next week and more rain I’m afraid during the week (specifics on Monday). This will of course thaw out any remaining snow very quickly. We’re not completely out of the woods yet though because towards the end of next week, temperatures will drop again and we will return to a risk of snow, but already I can see a milder air stream behind it, so hopefully the next bout should be short-lived.

The first 2 weeks of February are traditionally the coldest of the year, beyond that, we’re on the way to spring, not a moment too soon in my opinion, so we may have a little bit more ‘grinning and bearing it’ to do, but the light at the end of tunnel is coming into view 🙂

 

Have a good weekend, don’t forget it is the RSPB’s Big Garden Birdwatch this weekend, and with the snow, there’s a lot more birds in the garden at the moment searching for food. Mine looked like a rugby pitch when I got home because a flock of Fieldfares has found the apples I put out for the Blackbirds, never had them in the garden before, guess they must be hungry. So if you’re looking for something to do with the kids that doesn’t involve money, a USB port, headphones, a blank expression and no social interaction (god help us), click on the link below….

RSPB Garden Birdwatch

All the best…

Mark Hunt